Printed cotton banned exports and international cotton supply tightened The Indian government issued an announcement on March 5 prohibiting India’s export of all its cotton products (excluding waste cotton). The ban covered export orders already registered with the government.
As the world’s second largest cotton producer and exporter, India’s cotton exports accounted for 13% of the total international cotton trade in 2010/2011. The output of cotton as a crop product is controlled by the planting area and the yield level. The global cotton acreage and yield per unit area have not changed much in the past five years, and cotton production in the entire world has remained stable. In addition to the world’s major cotton export countries, the cotton production capacity of the United States, Uzbekistan, Australia, and Brazil are unable to fill the gap caused by India. Therefore, international cotton prices will rise due to tight policy supply and demand, and textile and garment industries in the cotton importing countries. The upstream and downstream industry chains will be significantly affected.
Expected increase in domestic cotton price increase, viscose staple fiber and polyester significantly benefit China is currently the largest cotton producer, the largest importer and consumer. China's cotton imports account for over 20% of consumption, and India is an important cotton import resource for China. In 2010 and 2011, printed cotton accounted for 20% of total domestic imports. The export ban in India will directly impact the domestic cotton supply market. Orders for printing cotton that have been signed cannot be implemented. Domestic cotton prices are likely to re-enter the rising channel due to tighter supply. In addition, the greater dependence of domestic cotton consumption on foreign cotton products determines that domestic cotton prices are closely linked to the prices of international markets. The international cotton supply has a large gap due to the ban on export of printed cotton, which makes it more likely that international traders will raise prices. The domestic import prices from other cotton importers will increase, and domestic cotton prices will also change simultaneously.
Domestic producers are bound to turn to alternative textile fiber varieties in order to reduce production costs. The two types of chemical fibers that are similar in performance to cotton are viscose staple fibers and polyester staple fibers. The demand for both fibers will increase and the price will increase simultaneously. Viscose staple fiber has better performance, but its domestic production capacity is smaller, and polyester staple fiber will be the main alternative. At the same time, the increase in polyester staple fiber prices will promote the PTA production boom and will also increase the price of polyester filaments.
As the world’s second largest cotton producer and exporter, India’s cotton exports accounted for 13% of the total international cotton trade in 2010/2011. The output of cotton as a crop product is controlled by the planting area and the yield level. The global cotton acreage and yield per unit area have not changed much in the past five years, and cotton production in the entire world has remained stable. In addition to the world’s major cotton export countries, the cotton production capacity of the United States, Uzbekistan, Australia, and Brazil are unable to fill the gap caused by India. Therefore, international cotton prices will rise due to tight policy supply and demand, and textile and garment industries in the cotton importing countries. The upstream and downstream industry chains will be significantly affected.
Expected increase in domestic cotton price increase, viscose staple fiber and polyester significantly benefit China is currently the largest cotton producer, the largest importer and consumer. China's cotton imports account for over 20% of consumption, and India is an important cotton import resource for China. In 2010 and 2011, printed cotton accounted for 20% of total domestic imports. The export ban in India will directly impact the domestic cotton supply market. Orders for printing cotton that have been signed cannot be implemented. Domestic cotton prices are likely to re-enter the rising channel due to tighter supply. In addition, the greater dependence of domestic cotton consumption on foreign cotton products determines that domestic cotton prices are closely linked to the prices of international markets. The international cotton supply has a large gap due to the ban on export of printed cotton, which makes it more likely that international traders will raise prices. The domestic import prices from other cotton importers will increase, and domestic cotton prices will also change simultaneously.
Domestic producers are bound to turn to alternative textile fiber varieties in order to reduce production costs. The two types of chemical fibers that are similar in performance to cotton are viscose staple fibers and polyester staple fibers. The demand for both fibers will increase and the price will increase simultaneously. Viscose staple fiber has better performance, but its domestic production capacity is smaller, and polyester staple fiber will be the main alternative. At the same time, the increase in polyester staple fiber prices will promote the PTA production boom and will also increase the price of polyester filaments.
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